Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
A. Sabalenka vs K. Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

BLR

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

1.82m

Height

1.80m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$36.5M

Career Money

$8.8M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Karolina Muchova

CZE

1

Win

Played

3

Win

Age

1.82m

Height

1.80m

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$36.5M

Career Money

$8.8M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Sabalenka 1 - 3 Muchova

They have played 11 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 5 and Karolina Muchova winning 6. The last match between Karolina Muchova and Aryna Sabalenka was at the China Open - Beijing, 04-10-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4.

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Sabalenka	1
Muchova	3

Last 4 H2H Matches:

(QF) China Open - Beijing(10-04-24)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

(SF) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-19-23)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

(SF) French Open - Paris(06-08-23)

Stats

Karolina Muchova

Aryna Sabalenka

A. Sabalenka vs K. Muchova H2H Profile

A. Sabalenka	Stats	K. Muchova
$36,531,203	Career Prize Money	$8,780,415
70.78% (487-201)	Career Total W/L	66.80% (326-162)
0	Clay	1
1	Hard	2
27	Titles	3
1	Total H2H Matches	3
84.00% (63-12)	YTD Win/Loss	60.47% (26-17)
4	YTD Titles	0

A. Sabalenka vs K. Muchova Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Aryna Sabalenka has won 41.17% of points on their second serve, while Karolina Muchova has won 44.54%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Aryna Sabalenka, in recent form, has won 46.59% of their opponent's second serve points, while Karolina Muchova has won 48.26%. The same stats for first serve returns are 30.77% and 30.62% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Aryna Sabalenka has saved 52.13% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Karolina Muchova has saved 56.67% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Aryna Sabalenka has won 84.00% of matches played (W/L 63/12), with Karolina Muchova winning 60.47% (W/L 26/17) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Aryna Sabalenka has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 296/104), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 64% (W/L 45/25). Karolina Muchova has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 74% (W/L 144/64), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 57% (W/L 20/15).
Player level: In the last year, Aryna Sabalenka has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 81.58% of matches (W/L 31/7), where as Karolina Muchova has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 65.00% of matches (W/L 13/7). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Aryna Sabalenka winning 1 times and Karolina Muchova being victorious 3 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Aryna Sabalenka winning 5 and Karolina Muchova winning 6.
The last match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova was at the China Open - Beijing, 04-10-2024, Round: QF, Surface: Hard, with Draw getting the victory 7-6(5) 2-6 6-4.
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 3:3:8.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Aryna Sabalenka has played against opponents with an average rank of 49 while Karolina Muchova has played against players with an average rank of 92.67.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Aryna Sabalenka has won 67% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Karolina Muchova has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Aryna Sabalenka has converted 33.94% of breakpoint opportunities, and Karolina Muchova has converted 34.81% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

A. Sabalenka vs K. Muchova H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

A. Sabalenka	Stats	K. Muchova
1	H2H Matches Won	3
5	Sets Won	6
60	Games Won	64
10	Aces (Total)	18
26	Total Double Faults	14
3:3:8	Average Match Time	3:3:8
61% (245/401)	1st Serve %	63% (255/408)
62% (152/245)	1st Serve Win %	66% (168/255)
54% (85/156)	2nd Serve Win %	51% (78/153)
40% (14/35)	Break Pts Won %	46% (16/35)
40% (162/408)	Return Points Win %	41% (164/401)
25% (1/4)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	75% (3/4)
0% (0/3)	Deciding Set Win %	100% (3/3)
50% (1/2)	1st Set Won, Won Match	100% (2/2)
50% (1/2)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	0% (0/2)
0% (0/2)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	50% (1/2)

Recent Performance Stats

A. Sabalenka Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
WTA Finals - Riyadh - 03-11-2025
F Elena RybakinaE. Rybakina	L	6-3 7-6(0)	Stats
SF Amanda AnisimovaA. Anisimova	W	6-3 3-6 6-3	Stats
Robin Cori GauffC. Gauff	W	7-6(5) 6-2	Stats
Robin Jessica PegulaJ. Pegula	W	6-4 2-6 6-3	Stats
Robin Jasmine PaoliniJ. Paolini	W	6-3 6-1	Stats

View All

K. Muchova Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo - 20-10-2025
QF Belinda BencicB. Bencic	L	3-6 7-5 7-5	Stats
R2 Maya JointM. Joint	W	6-3 7-5	Stats
R1 Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	W	6-2 1-0 ret.	Stats
Ningbo Open - Ningbo - 13-10-2025
R2 Diana ShnaiderD. Shnaider	L	2-6 6-1 6-2	Stats
R1 Marketa VondrousovaM. Vondrousova	W	6-4 6-3	Stats

View All

A. Sabalenka vs K. Muchova Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

A. Sabalenka	Stats	K. Muchova
70.78% (487/201)	YTD Win/Loss	66.80% (326/162)
66.60% (1075/539)	Sets Win/Loss	63.89% (722/408)
56.17% (8480/6618)	Games Win/Loss	55.29% (5763/4660)
74.00% (296/104)	Hard Win/Loss	69.23% (144/64)
66.67% (100/50)	Clay Win/Loss	65.90% (114/59)
65.79% (50/26)	Indoor Hard W/L	66.67% (48/24)
66.13% (41/21)	Grass Win/Loss	57.14% (20/15)
0.39	Aces Per Game	0.23
2856	Aces Total	1190
0.39	Double Faults Per Game	0.15
2867	Total Double Faults	772
1st Match	Average Match Time	1:20:6
286.56	Average Opponent Rank	391.08
61% (27907/46123)	1st Serve %	66% (17542/26640)
69% (19218/27907)	1st Serve Win %	65% (11392/17542)
47% (8619/18205)	2nd Serve Win %	50% (4522/9098)
47% (2590/5538)	Break Points Won % (Total)	47% (1531/3285)
45% (20595/45860)	Return Points Win %	45% (12194/27226)
77.78% (105/30)	Slam W/L	66.27% (55/28)
71.16% (153/62)	Masters W/L	69.62% (55/24)
62.50% (10/6)	Cups W/L	66.67% (2/1)
67.93% (125/59)	Main Tour W/L	64.04% (57/32)
64.89% (61/33)	Challenger W/L	65.96% (93/48)
75.00% (33/11)	Futures W/L	68.82% (64/29)
71% (484/684)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	67% (317/475)
100% (1/1)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	0% (0/3)
61% (112/183)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	60% (72/120)
57% (137/241)	Deciding Set Win %	53% (85/161)
89% (464/414)	1st Set Won, Won Match	88% (314/277)
11% (464/49)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	12% (314/37)
32% (224/72)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	28% (174/49)